yea, he just won't be able to win Kentucky, West Virginia, Arkansas, Tennessee, Florida, Ohio, you know, more states with more electoral votes.
He's up in Ohio and competitive in Florida.
He'll clobber McCain.
Why the hell do you insist on focusing on one, and only one path to 270? It's childish.
Oh, and Kerry lost every single state you just mentioned and I'm pretty sure Gore did too.
Add in Virginia to their totals and either one would have been President.
Those states you mentioned are not magic states. And hell, I live in one of them.
...do you back up that he won't win in Ohio? Campaigning one day less in that state at this stage won't hurt him and might even help him (oversaturation)...
Obama is probably not going to compete vigorously in Arkansas and West Virginia; both of these states are overrun with Democrats (call them DINOs if you wish, they still are members of the party) and they really dislike Republicans in those states.
Are the demographics really that bad in Arkansas? The state would seem to be quite favorable to Obama, compared to the other non-coastal Southern states, given its Democratic registration advantage and its large African-American population. Hell, even Kerry was leading Bush in Arkansas at this time four years ago.
